Coverage tagged: Brazil (BRA)
Every story tagged to Brazil in the reporting behind our ratings, newest first. State-self-reported sources are excluded from scoring; non-anglophone coverage is surfaced in translation. Every card links to its source.
6 stories, newest first - 0 on this page in translation
Lula's polling lead over Senator Flavio Bolsonaro narrowed through late August ahead of October's election, with Datafolha and Quaest converging, and Flavio publicly vowed on Aug 29 to respect the outcome. A tightening race plus an explicit commitment to accept the result is a well-observed but unmoved stability level.
Lula and Flavio Bolsonaro formally launched near-tied campaigns Aug 16 (Quaest 43-40 narrowing; first round Oct 4). High-stakes but institutionally normal so far; stability held with the WTO Section-301 consultation clock running in the background.
Lula's July 26 Washington Post op-ed called the July 16 Section 301 tariffs (12.5-37.5%, making Brazil the second-most-tariffed US partner) 'unfair and a strategic mistake', and Brazil formally requested WTO dispute consultations July 28. The July 16 action was missed by the prior sweep and is booked late with the in-window response: Brazil trade near -2 to -5.
A new Quaest poll put Lula ahead of Flavio Bolsonaro 45-37 in a simulated runoff (up from a 6-point lead) amid the rule-of-law confrontation with Washington. An institutional-continuity signal; watch-item, no score moved this pass.
Brazil is bracing for the US Section 301 decision due July 15 (25% on 4,100+ product lines worth ~$14.9B) with no deal reached as of July 14 despite four USTR meetings and a CNI/AmCham two-stage proposal. Outside-window decision not pre-scored: Brazil trade held at near -2.
As a July 15 US Section 301 decision on 25% tariffs (exempting beef/coffee/aircraft) approaches, Flavio Bolsonaro lobbied Washington to delay it before Brazil's October election. Brazil trade_actions_capacity held near -2 (threat active, not imposed).