Venezuela government and opposition negotiate moving gold reserves
The Rodriguez government and opposition are negotiating to move roughly $4B in gold from the Bank of England to the NY Fed, which would unlock frozen reserves if completed.
Coverage tagged: Venezuela (VEN)
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The Rodriguez government and opposition are negotiating to move roughly $4B in gold from the Bank of England to the NY Fed, which would unlock frozen reserves if completed.
Maduro and Cilia Flores asked a New York federal court on Sept 3 to dismiss drug-trafficking charges on presidential-immunity grounds. Together with the oil deal's lack of National Assembly ratification, this is why the economic improvement does not read across to Venezuela's rule-of-law score.
The US announced a major Venezuela oil deal covering development across 17 fields, with Chevron expanding investment past $7B over five years targeting around 600,000 bpd. Bloomberg separately reports the deal displaces operators tied to OFAC-sanctioned Maduro-era producers. Booked as a modest step rather than a reversal: the sweeps disagree on counterparty structure and Venezuela's National Assembly has not ratified it.
131 political prisoners were freed by Aug 15 (release scenes at El Rodeo I Aug 14) as the first round of US-brokered government-opposition talks completed (Aug 6-12), with 391 still held and no date for 'phase three' elections amid the Rodriguez-Cabello internal struggle. Drove the stability and civil-liberties improvements at low confidence; fluid and reversible.
The Rodriguez government's Aug 3 count of 6,125 dead (73,300 hospitalized, tens of thousands missing) from the June quakes diverges sharply from USGS PAGER's independent >10,000 projection, with a Swiss rescue assessment that most missing are dead; Swiss Re's H1 sigma names the quakes a principal global loss driver. State figure, direction only; the undercount pattern persists post-Maduro. A recirculated pre-capture Maduro militia story was caught and excluded.
The June-24 twin-quake toll rose ~718 within the window to pass 5,200 dead (5,208 per the July-19 official tally) / 16,740 injured, with 23,820+ displaced; the UN estimates up to 68,000 missing and 6.7M affected. Now the deadliest quake in modern Venezuelan history: held social_cohesion at -7. State toll relayed by independent outlets (direction); UN estimate multilateral.
The independently tracked June 24-25 twin-earthquake toll climbed past 4,100 dead / 17,900+ displaced by July 11 (from ~3,535 on July 6). Venezuela social_cohesion held at -7 (confidence up); early state casualty figures superseded.
The IMF confirmed July 9 that Georgieva and interim president Rodriguez discussed Venezuela tapping ~$4.2bn in unused SDRs plus a ~$650m RFI tranche for quake reconstruction - re-engagement after years shut out. Venezuela fiscal_state held near -8 (a modest positive noted).
The chavista Assembly kept invoking post-quake 'unity/stability' rather than convening the constitutionally mandated election as Rodriguez's interim mandate lapsed; opposition leader Machado faces friction with Washington over returning. Venezuela rule_of_law held at -8 (crisis unresolved).
Back-to-back M7.5/M7.2 quakes struck La Guaira/Caracas June 24-25; independently tracked toll passed 3,500 dead / 16,400+ injured by July 7. Drove Venezuela fiscal_state near -7 -> -8, social_cohesion -6 -> -7, civil_service_capacity -6 -> -7.
Delcy Rodriguez's interim presidency hit the constitutional 180-day cap July 5; the chavista-controlled Assembly was obligated to declare Maduro's absence and call elections within 30 days but stayed silent. Drove Venezuela political_stability near -8 -> -9, rule_of_law held at -8.
The Article 233 180-day cap on temporary presidential absence passed with neither an absolute-absence declaration nor elections called, the Supreme Court having invented a non-constitutional 'forced absence' category; civil society demands compliance and Machado's return. A constitutional hard limit passed unanswered: drove Venezuela rule_of_law -8 to -9.