Coverage tagged: Russia (RUS)
Every story tagged to Russia in the reporting behind our ratings, newest first. State-self-reported sources are excluded from scoring; non-anglophone coverage is surfaced in translation. Every card links to its source.
50 stories, newest first - 1 on this page in translation
FM Sikorski said July 9 Warsaw has intelligence Russia is preparing new provocations, citing an active hybrid-war pattern (cyber, shadow-fleet reconnaissance, sabotage, drones); US/Latvian intel echoed the warning. Poland conflict_involvement held at -5 (confidence up).
Russia banned diesel exports through July 31 (on top of gasoline/jet-fuel bans) and began importing fuel after Ukrainian refinery strikes triggered shortages; European diesel margins spiked to a record ~$60/bbl. Drove Russia monetary_independence -3 to -4.
The EP adopted Moldova's first accession progress report July 8 (505-115), praising reforms despite 'persistent hostile Russian interference' and urging the Council to open all remaining clusters. Moldova alliance_reliability near 1 to 2; conflict held at -5 (interference flagged).
The European Parliament backed (July 8) a call to ban EU alumina exports to Russia after an OCCRP investigation linked an Irish refinery's supply chain to Russian arms makers - pressure to close a sanctions-evasion gap in the metals/defense supply chain.
The MOEX index fell to a 3-year low July 6 after a smaller-than-expected 25bp rate cut; separately the H1 federal deficit hit ~5.7T rubles (2.5% of GDP), ~50% above the full-year target. Russia fiscal_state held near -2/long -7 (a rare June surplus tempered the read).
The five-month federal deficit passed 6 trillion rubles (~$81B, double last year's pace), Q1 GDP contracted 0.2% y/y, and the MOEX fell to 2,450 on July 6, its lowest since December 2024 (exile outlet, data-driven, cross-checked against TradingEconomics). Drove Russia fiscal near -2 to -3.
Russia ran two mass strikes on Kyiv within four days (July 2 and July 6, the deadliest on the capital this year), timed to the NATO Ankara summit. Ukraine conflict held at the -10 near floor; Russia conflict held at -9.
Ukrainian deep-strike drones knocked out 20%+ of Russian refining capacity; 55 of 83 federal subjects imposed fuel restrictions and Putin conceded shortages June 29. Drove Russia monetary_independence -1 -> -3.
Russia's Jan-May deficit hit 6.01T rubles ($83.5B) - 160% of the full-year target - on a ~30% oil/gas revenue drop, and Moscow rushed a law to breach spending/borrowing ceilings without disclosure. Drove Russia fiscal_state near 1 -> -2. (Exile outlet; the government 'no crisis' framing is excluded, contradicted by its own deficit data.)
Ukrainian drones struck the Rosneft Saratov oil refinery overnight on May 31, sparking a large fire in a fuel-tank farm, alongside strikes on a Rostov fuel depot and the Lazarevo pumping station over 1,200 km away on the Siberia-to-Belarus crude route, degrading Russian refining throughput and export logistics.